Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 1.145533 1.378267 1.624950 1.903947 2.208867 2.530299 2.893082
2024-11-03 0.880800 1.207382 1.577466 2.019772 2.526570 3.082532 3.732218
2024-11-10 0.752768 1.131538 1.580599 2.136235 2.790948 3.525477 4.400103
2024-11-17 0.653373 1.071810 1.588827 2.248050 3.043079 3.951256 5.048650
2024-11-24 0.550951 0.989233 1.553571 2.293928 3.205965 4.264622 5.560277
2024-12-01 0.452651 0.896774 1.493931 2.299930 3.313336 4.507459 5.986148
2024-12-08 0.348153 0.778387 1.387108 2.235144 3.325057 4.629651 6.264678
2024-12-15 0.263724 0.674816 1.288794 2.171664 3.330562 4.738290 6.522180
2024-12-22 0.203216 0.597580 1.218550 2.137880 3.367469 4.880231 6.815349
2024-12-29 0.168905 0.559177 1.200608 2.171757 3.488954 5.124687 7.231371
2025-01-05 0.135161 0.514339 1.168118 2.181889 3.576990 5.326024 7.594102
2025-01-12 0.101345 0.460214 1.115383 2.159100 3.618467 5.466926 7.881470
2025-01-19 0.095986 0.471629 1.174264 2.305959 3.898411 5.923583 8.576483
2025-01-26 0.088419 0.476517 1.222702 2.439221 4.162917 6.364579 9.257512
2025-02-02 0.081253 0.480317 1.268228 2.567503 4.420304 6.796388 9.927258
2025-02-09 0.074319 0.482987 1.311308 2.692297 4.673674 7.224291 10.593986
2025-02-16 0.059796 0.459485 1.306111 2.743011 4.824804 7.520813 11.097369
2025-02-23 0.043495 0.422830 1.273608 2.749738 4.913739 7.736369 11.499322
2025-03-02 0.024981 0.363997 1.193256 2.677819 4.889898 7.803463 11.713353
2025-03-09 0.012342 0.311257 1.117127 2.607297 4.864146 7.865197 11.918334
2025-03-16 0.005545 0.273032 1.064274 2.569721 4.881558 7.980439 12.187974
2025-03-23 0.002981 0.257627 1.057890 2.607399 5.006769 8.238265 12.639561
2025-03-30 0.001022 0.236652 1.036578 2.618661 5.092801 8.443627 13.024116